INSTITUTE BRIEF

Independent research and analysis of Russia — its society, propaganda, and security challenges.

The Institute for Conflict Studies and Analysis of Russia (IKAR) is an independent, non-profit think tank providing policymakers, military experts, researchers, and journalists with insights on Russia and security challenges emerging from its policies. We conduct comprehensive, evidence-driven research on Russia — its internal processes, propaganda, and hybrid operations.

Latest Publications

Russia Rebuilds the State for a Protracted War and Lays Its Costs onto Europe
Russia Rebuilds the State for a Protracted War and Lays Its Costs onto Europe
Analytics

Russia Rebuilds the State for a Protracted War and Lays Its Costs onto Europe

Russia is expanding its hybrid activity beyond Ukraine and adapting mechanisms for financing covert operations. On the one hand, Moscow is stepping up pressure on European states – the primary donors to Ukraine’s defense. On the other, it is restructuring its domestic budgetary, social, and regional policies to ensure that high wartime expenditures can be…

Digital Assets as a Tool for Financing Russian Sabotage and Covert Operations in Europe
Digital Assets as a Tool for Financing Russian Sabotage and Covert Operations in Europe
Analytics

Digital Assets as a Tool for Financing Russian Sabotage and Covert Operations in Europe

The financing of hybrid and sabotage activity in Europe increasingly relies on mechanisms that obscure the links between Russian state structures, intermediaries, and direct operatives. Traditional channels based on diplomatic and intelligence cover are being supplemented by a more fragmented system of remote coordination, in which funds can be transferred through virtual assets and different…

Architecture of Russian Unmanned Expansion
Architecture of Russian Unmanned Expansion
Analytics

Architecture of Russian Unmanned Expansion

This analytical assessment documents the systemic transformation of Russian Federation unmanned aerial incursions over NATO and EU sovereign airspace between 2022 and 2026. Empirical evidence demonstrates that these unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) sorties can no longer be characterized as sporadic anomalies or unintentional navigational deviations. Instead, they represent an integrated, state-directed military intelligence doctrine that…

Research

Briefings, public conversations, and closed-door roundtables.

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Vladimir Putin’s Actual Trust Rating Is Far Lower Than the 70% Shown by Official Polls
Research

Vladimir Putin’s Actual Trust Rating Is Far Lower Than the 70% Shown by Official Polls

The Institute for Conflict Studies and Analysis of Russia (IKAR) conducted two regional sociological studies — one in Krasnodar krai and the other in Rostov oblast — as part of a systematic study of Russian society. The survey was conducted in Krasnodar krai from May 14 to 31, 2026, and in Rostov oblast…

Vladimir Putin’s Actual Trust Rating Is Far Lower Than the 70% Shown by Official Polls
Sociological survey: MIRROR OF RUSSIA, 10 wave
Research

Sociological survey: MIRROR OF RUSSIA, 10 wave

War has once again become the number one concern for Russians, and they would like it to end as soon as possible The Institute for Conflict Studies and Analysis of Russia (IKAR) conducted a sociological survey as part of its monitoring of Russian society, called the “Mirror of Russia.” The 10th wave was conducted from…

Sociological survey: MIRROR OF RUSSIA, 10 wave
Russian Interference in Electoral Processes: Risks for Ukraine
Research

Russian Interference in Electoral Processes: Risks for Ukraine

Russia uses common and proven approaches in its attempts to influence electoral processes in other countries. Significant efforts are directed at Russian-speaking voters in these countries and at presenting the elections there to their own citizens in the light necessary for internal political stability within the Russian Federation itself. Our research aims to analyze the…

Russian Interference in Electoral Processes: Risks for Ukraine

Analytics

Indicators, monitoring, and rapid-response analysis.

See all analytics
Russia Rebuilds the State for a Protracted War and Lays Its Costs onto Europe
Analytics

Russia Rebuilds the State for a Protracted War and Lays Its Costs onto Europe

Russia is expanding its hybrid activity beyond Ukraine and adapting mechanisms for financing covert operations. On the one hand, Moscow is stepping up pressure on European states – the primary donors to Ukraine’s defense. On the other, it is restructuring its domestic budgetary, social, and regional policies to ensure that high wartime expenditures can be…

Russia Rebuilds the State for a Protracted War and Lays Its Costs onto Europe
Digital Assets as a Tool for Financing Russian Sabotage and Covert Operations in Europe
Analytics

Digital Assets as a Tool for Financing Russian Sabotage and Covert Operations in Europe

The financing of hybrid and sabotage activity in Europe increasingly relies on mechanisms that obscure the links between Russian state structures, intermediaries, and direct operatives. Traditional channels based on diplomatic and intelligence cover are being supplemented by a more fragmented system of remote coordination, in which funds can be transferred through virtual assets and different…

Digital Assets as a Tool for Financing Russian Sabotage and Covert Operations in Europe
Architecture of Russian Unmanned Expansion
Analytics

Architecture of Russian Unmanned Expansion

This analytical assessment documents the systemic transformation of Russian Federation unmanned aerial incursions over NATO and EU sovereign airspace between 2022 and 2026. Empirical evidence demonstrates that these unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) sorties can no longer be characterized as sporadic anomalies or unintentional navigational deviations. Instead, they represent an integrated, state-directed military intelligence doctrine that…

Architecture of Russian Unmanned Expansion