INSTITUTE BRIEF

Independent research and analysis of Russia — its society, propaganda, and security challenges.

The Institute for Conflict Studies and Analysis of Russia (IKAR) is an independent, non-profit think tank providing policymakers, military experts, researchers, and journalists with insights on Russia and security challenges emerging from its policies. We conduct comprehensive, evidence-driven research on Russia — its internal processes, propaganda, and hybrid operations.

Latest Publications

Kremlin Uses Negotiations to Secure the Political Gains of Its War Against Ukraine
Kremlin Uses Negotiations to Secure the Political Gains of Its War Against Ukraine
Analytics

Kremlin Uses Negotiations to Secure the Political Gains of Its War Against Ukraine

Ahead of a possible resumption of talks with Ukraine and the United States, the Kremlin shows no willingness to revise its war aims. Instead, Russian leaders continue to present the situation on the battlefield as a gradual move towards victory. They seek to convince Ukraine and its partners that further resistance will only weaken Kyiv’s…

AfD Uses Pro-Russian Rhetoric to Gain Political Influence in Germany
AfD Uses Pro-Russian Rhetoric to Gain Political Influence in Germany
Analytics

AfD Uses Pro-Russian Rhetoric to Gain Political Influence in Germany

Growing support for Alternative for Germany (AfD) gives Russia new opportunities to influence politics in one of the European Union’s most influential member states. The party has its own political agenda, but its positions on sanctions, military aid to Ukraine, energy cooperation, and relations with Moscow align with the Kremlin’s key foreign policy interests. This…

Russia Seeks Alternative Geopolitical Alliances as International Isolation Deepens
Russia Seeks Alternative Geopolitical Alliances as International Isolation Deepens
Analytics

Russia Seeks Alternative Geopolitical Alliances as International Isolation Deepens

The narrowing scope for traditional diplomacy is pushing the Russian leadership to rely on selective channels of cooperation to maintain its international presence. Due to persistent disagreements regarding the war and uncertain terms for peace, Moscow has failed to transform its dialogue with Washington into a stable mechanism for advancing its foreign policy goals. Under…

Research

Briefings, public conversations, and closed-door roundtables.

See all research
Vladimir Putin’s Actual Trust Rating Is Far Lower Than the 70% Shown by Official Polls
Research

Vladimir Putin’s Actual Trust Rating Is Far Lower Than the 70% Shown by Official Polls

The Institute for Conflict Studies and Analysis of Russia (IKAR) conducted two regional sociological studies — one in Krasnodar krai and the other in Rostov oblast — as part of a systematic study of Russian society. The survey was conducted in Krasnodar krai from May 14 to 31, 2026, and in Rostov oblast…

Vladimir Putin’s Actual Trust Rating Is Far Lower Than the 70% Shown by Official Polls
Sociological survey: MIRROR OF RUSSIA, 10 wave
Research

Sociological survey: MIRROR OF RUSSIA, 10 wave

War has once again become the number one concern for Russians, and they would like it to end as soon as possible The Institute for Conflict Studies and Analysis of Russia (IKAR) conducted a sociological survey as part of its monitoring of Russian society, called the “Mirror of Russia.” The 10th wave was conducted from…

Sociological survey: MIRROR OF RUSSIA, 10 wave
Russian Interference in Electoral Processes: Risks for Ukraine
Research

Russian Interference in Electoral Processes: Risks for Ukraine

Russia uses common and proven approaches in its attempts to influence electoral processes in other countries. Significant efforts are directed at Russian-speaking voters in these countries and at presenting the elections there to their own citizens in the light necessary for internal political stability within the Russian Federation itself. Our research aims to analyze the…

Russian Interference in Electoral Processes: Risks for Ukraine

Analytics

Indicators, monitoring, and rapid-response analysis.

See all analytics
Kremlin Uses Negotiations to Secure the Political Gains of Its War Against Ukraine
Analytics

Kremlin Uses Negotiations to Secure the Political Gains of Its War Against Ukraine

Ahead of a possible resumption of talks with Ukraine and the United States, the Kremlin shows no willingness to revise its war aims. Instead, Russian leaders continue to present the situation on the battlefield as a gradual move towards victory. They seek to convince Ukraine and its partners that further resistance will only weaken Kyiv’s…

Kremlin Uses Negotiations to Secure the Political Gains of Its War Against Ukraine
AfD Uses Pro-Russian Rhetoric to Gain Political Influence in Germany
Analytics

AfD Uses Pro-Russian Rhetoric to Gain Political Influence in Germany

Growing support for Alternative for Germany (AfD) gives Russia new opportunities to influence politics in one of the European Union’s most influential member states. The party has its own political agenda, but its positions on sanctions, military aid to Ukraine, energy cooperation, and relations with Moscow align with the Kremlin’s key foreign policy interests. This…

AfD Uses Pro-Russian Rhetoric to Gain Political Influence in Germany
Russia Seeks Alternative Geopolitical Alliances as International Isolation Deepens
Analytics

Russia Seeks Alternative Geopolitical Alliances as International Isolation Deepens

The narrowing scope for traditional diplomacy is pushing the Russian leadership to rely on selective channels of cooperation to maintain its international presence. Due to persistent disagreements regarding the war and uncertain terms for peace, Moscow has failed to transform its dialogue with Washington into a stable mechanism for advancing its foreign policy goals. Under…

Russia Seeks Alternative Geopolitical Alliances as International Isolation Deepens