INSTITUTE BRIEF

Independent research and analysis of Russia — its society, propaganda, and security challenges.

The Institute for Conflict Studies and Analysis of Russia (IKAR) is an independent, non-profit think tank providing policymakers, military experts, researchers, and journalists with insights on Russia and security challenges emerging from its policies. We conduct comprehensive, evidence-driven research on Russia — its internal processes, propaganda, and hybrid operations.

Latest Publications

Russia Influences Political Decisions in European Democracies
Russia Influences Political Decisions in European Democracies
Analytics

Russia Influences Political Decisions in European Democracies

Russia runs planned information campaigns to influence political choices, public moods, and decision-making in Western democracies. The goal of these campaigns is to plant self-interested stories into the local politics of these countries. By using existing social problems, a lack of trust in leaders, and conflicts of interest, Moscow interferes in the information space of…

Russia Uses U.S. Concessions to Weaken European Deterrence
Russia Uses U.S. Concessions to Weaken European Deterrence
Analytics

Russia Uses U.S. Concessions to Weaken European Deterrence

By suspending the toughest economic restrictions indefinitely without securing any commitments from Moscow in return, Washington weakens its economic leverage over the Kremlin, giving Russia more room to test Europe’s security on its eastern and southern flanks. For Moscow, the decision creates an opportunity to preserve its economic resources while testing how far it can…

Russia Turns Its Own Vulnerabilities into Negotiating Leverage and Expands the Obfuscation Zone
Russia Turns Its Own Vulnerabilities into Negotiating Leverage and Expands the Obfuscation Zone
Analytics

Russia Turns Its Own Vulnerabilities into Negotiating Leverage and Expands the Obfuscation Zone

Over the past week, Russia has gained an opportunity to strengthen its negotiating position in relations with the United States. At the same time, its military-technical cooperation with Iran and its lack of transparency surrounding an incident in the Irkutsk region raise additional international security concerns. These developments unfold in different domains, but each highlights…

Research

Briefings, public conversations, and closed-door roundtables.

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Vladimir Putin’s Actual Trust Rating Is Far Lower Than the 70% Shown by Official Polls
Research

Vladimir Putin’s Actual Trust Rating Is Far Lower Than the 70% Shown by Official Polls

The Institute for Conflict Studies and Analysis of Russia (IKAR) conducted two regional sociological studies — one in Krasnodar krai and the other in Rostov oblast — as part of a systematic study of Russian society. The survey was conducted in Krasnodar krai from May 14 to 31, 2026, and in Rostov oblast…

Vladimir Putin’s Actual Trust Rating Is Far Lower Than the 70% Shown by Official Polls
Sociological survey: MIRROR OF RUSSIA, 10 wave
Research

Sociological survey: MIRROR OF RUSSIA, 10 wave

War has once again become the number one concern for Russians, and they would like it to end as soon as possible The Institute for Conflict Studies and Analysis of Russia (IKAR) conducted a sociological survey as part of its monitoring of Russian society, called the “Mirror of Russia.” The 10th wave was conducted from…

Sociological survey: MIRROR OF RUSSIA, 10 wave
Russian Interference in Electoral Processes: Risks for Ukraine
Research

Russian Interference in Electoral Processes: Risks for Ukraine

Russia uses common and proven approaches in its attempts to influence electoral processes in other countries. Significant efforts are directed at Russian-speaking voters in these countries and at presenting the elections there to their own citizens in the light necessary for internal political stability within the Russian Federation itself. Our research aims to analyze the…

Russian Interference in Electoral Processes: Risks for Ukraine

Analytics

Indicators, monitoring, and rapid-response analysis.

See all analytics
Russia Influences Political Decisions in European Democracies
Analytics

Russia Influences Political Decisions in European Democracies

Russia runs planned information campaigns to influence political choices, public moods, and decision-making in Western democracies. The goal of these campaigns is to plant self-interested stories into the local politics of these countries. By using existing social problems, a lack of trust in leaders, and conflicts of interest, Moscow interferes in the information space of…

Russia Influences Political Decisions in European Democracies
Russia Uses U.S. Concessions to Weaken European Deterrence
Analytics

Russia Uses U.S. Concessions to Weaken European Deterrence

By suspending the toughest economic restrictions indefinitely without securing any commitments from Moscow in return, Washington weakens its economic leverage over the Kremlin, giving Russia more room to test Europe’s security on its eastern and southern flanks. For Moscow, the decision creates an opportunity to preserve its economic resources while testing how far it can…

Russia Uses U.S. Concessions to Weaken European Deterrence
Russia Turns Its Own Vulnerabilities into Negotiating Leverage and Expands the Obfuscation Zone
Analytics

Russia Turns Its Own Vulnerabilities into Negotiating Leverage and Expands the Obfuscation Zone

Over the past week, Russia has gained an opportunity to strengthen its negotiating position in relations with the United States. At the same time, its military-technical cooperation with Iran and its lack of transparency surrounding an incident in the Irkutsk region raise additional international security concerns. These developments unfold in different domains, but each highlights…

Russia Turns Its Own Vulnerabilities into Negotiating Leverage and Expands the Obfuscation Zone