INSTITUTE BRIEF

Independent research and analysis of Russia — its society, propaganda, and security challenges.

The Institute for Conflict Studies and Analysis of Russia (IKAR) is an independent, non-profit think tank providing policymakers, military experts, researchers, and journalists with insights on Russia and security challenges emerging from its policies. We conduct comprehensive, evidence-driven research on Russia — its internal processes, propaganda, and hybrid operations.

Latest Publications

International Observers as a Mechanism of Electoral Legitimation in Russia
International Observers as a Mechanism of Electoral Legitimation in Russia
Analytics

International Observers as a Mechanism of Electoral Legitimation in Russia

The use of foreign nationals presented by Russian officials and state media as “international observers” or “experts” has become a regular feature of efforts to legitimize Russian elections. Unlike professional monitoring missions, which follow established methodologies and assess the entire electoral cycle, these observers often make short visits, attend a limited number of polling stations,…

Russia Faces Domestic Resilience Challenges Ahead of Elections
Russia Faces Domestic Resilience Challenges Ahead of Elections
Analytics

Russia Faces Domestic Resilience Challenges Ahead of Elections

Amid persistent military tensions, several sensitive issues in Russia are converging into a broader agenda affecting domestic resilience. Expectations of mobilization are sustaining high levels of public anxiety, while the fuel crisis is increasing socioeconomic pressure. Against this backdrop, the upcoming elections are becoming a key test of the Russian state’s ability to maintain social…

Building a Nation Under Arms: Russia From Mobilization to Military Socialisation
Building a Nation Under Arms: Russia From Mobilization to Military Socialisation
Analytics

Building a Nation Under Arms: Russia From Mobilization to Military Socialisation

Russia’s substantial wartime losses and declining effectiveness of contract-based recruitment raise growing questions about its ability to sustain the front’s manpower needs without renewed mass mobilization. IKAR’s study examines Russia’s available and emerging mechanisms for replenishing military personnel, public attitudes toward mass mobilization and its potential political consequences, and the feasibility of various mobilization scenarios.…

Research

Briefings, public conversations, and closed-door roundtables.

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Vladimir Putin’s Actual Trust Rating Is Far Lower Than the 70% Shown by Official Polls
Research

Vladimir Putin’s Actual Trust Rating Is Far Lower Than the 70% Shown by Official Polls

Research Methodology The Institute for Conflict Studies and Analysis of Russia (IKAR) conducted two regional sociological studies — one in Krasnodar krai and the other in Rostov oblast — as part of a systematic study of Russian society. The survey was conducted in Krasnodar krai from May 14 to 31, 2026, and in Rostov oblast…

Vladimir Putin’s Actual Trust Rating Is Far Lower Than the 70% Shown by Official Polls
Sociological survey: MIRROR OF RUSSIA, 10 wave
Research

Sociological survey: MIRROR OF RUSSIA, 10 wave

War has once again become the number one concern for Russians, and they would like it to end as soon as possible The Institute for Conflict Studies and Analysis of Russia (IKAR) conducted a sociological survey as part of its monitoring of Russian society, called the “Mirror of Russia.” The 10th wave was conducted from…

Sociological survey: MIRROR OF RUSSIA, 10 wave
Russian Interference in Electoral Processes: Risks for Ukraine
Research

Russian Interference in Electoral Processes: Risks for Ukraine

Russia uses common and proven approaches in its attempts to influence electoral processes in other countries. Significant efforts are directed at Russian-speaking voters in these countries and at presenting the elections there to their own citizens in the light necessary for internal political stability within the Russian Federation itself. Our research aims to analyze the…

Russian Interference in Electoral Processes: Risks for Ukraine

Analytics

Indicators, monitoring, and rapid-response analysis.

See all analytics
International Observers as a Mechanism of Electoral Legitimation in Russia
Analytics

International Observers as a Mechanism of Electoral Legitimation in Russia

The use of foreign nationals presented by Russian officials and state media as “international observers” or “experts” has become a regular feature of efforts to legitimize Russian elections. Unlike professional monitoring missions, which follow established methodologies and assess the entire electoral cycle, these observers often make short visits, attend a limited number of polling stations,…

International Observers as a Mechanism of Electoral Legitimation in Russia
Russia Faces Domestic Resilience Challenges Ahead of Elections
Analytics

Russia Faces Domestic Resilience Challenges Ahead of Elections

Amid persistent military tensions, several sensitive issues in Russia are converging into a broader agenda affecting domestic resilience. Expectations of mobilization are sustaining high levels of public anxiety, while the fuel crisis is increasing socioeconomic pressure. Against this backdrop, the upcoming elections are becoming a key test of the Russian state’s ability to maintain social…

Russia Faces Domestic Resilience Challenges Ahead of Elections
Building a Nation Under Arms: Russia From Mobilization to Military Socialisation
Analytics

Building a Nation Under Arms: Russia From Mobilization to Military Socialisation

Russia’s substantial wartime losses and declining effectiveness of contract-based recruitment raise growing questions about its ability to sustain the front’s manpower needs without renewed mass mobilization. IKAR’s study examines Russia’s available and emerging mechanisms for replenishing military personnel, public attitudes toward mass mobilization and its potential political consequences, and the feasibility of various mobilization scenarios.…

Building a Nation Under Arms: Russia From Mobilization to Military Socialisation