Monitoring Russian Narratives Regarding Moldova: 21-27.04.2025

Monitoring Russian Narratives Regarding Moldova: 21-27.04.2025

The Institute for Conflict Studies and Analysis of Russia, together with Watchdog MD, continues weekly monitoring of Russian propaganda attempts to interfere in the electoral process in Moldova and its attempts to influence the domestic political situation in this country. This publication was produced with the financial support of the European Union and Equal Rights & Independent Media (ERIM). Its contents are the sole responsibility of IKAR-WatchDog.MD and do not necessarily reflect the views of the EU and ERIM.

The weekly monitoring report aims to study social media to identify key propaganda narratives, trending topics, active propagandists, and audience engagement statistics related to Moldova’s political landscape. The data is collected from the Russian segment of Telegram using AI-powered tools and manual sampling.

Rating of topics that were discussed on 21-27 April 2025 in the Russian information space regarding the Republic of Moldova, focusing on such narratives: Moldova is being used to train terrorists, the Moldovan Orthodox Church is being oppressed, Chișinău banned the celebration of Victory Day on May 9, as well as the promotion of alternative opposition politicians.

  1. Russian propaganda continues to promote the narrative that “Moldova is used to train terrorists.” One week after Russia launched a disinformation campaign about Moldovans being involved in terrorist attacks, a new falsehood was spread regarding the detention of an alleged “Moldovan spy” from Chișinău’s intelligence services. This narrative was further reinforced by a travel risk warning issued to Russian citizens about visiting the Republic of Moldova. This clearly indicates a coordinated disinformation campaign aimed at the Russian public to portray Moldova as a threat.
  2. The promotion of the false claim about the ban on celebrating Victory Day on May 9th is being used to divide society and discredit the authorities in Chișinău. This falsehood is repeated every year around May 9th and is part of the broader narrative about “erasing historical memory.”
  3. An analysis of the appearances of Moldovan politicians in Russian media shows a shift in attention, from the Governor of Gagauzia, Evghenia Guțul, to other figures such as Igor Dodon, Ilan Șor, or even Ion Ceban. Recently, the messages of Victoria Furtună have also been promoted; she is supported in the presidential elections by the Șor group. This suggests that Russia is betting on multiple political figures in the upcoming parliamentary elections and is working to increase their visibility.

Related publications

Russia Faces Domestic Resilience Challenges Ahead of Elections
Analytics

Russia Faces Domestic Resilience Challenges Ahead of Elections

Amid persistent military tensions, several sensitive issues in Russia are converging into a broader agenda affecting domestic resilience. Expectations of mobilization are sustaining high levels of public anxiety, while the fuel crisis is increasing socioeconomic pressure. Against this backdrop, the upcoming elections are becoming a key test of the Russian state’s ability to maintain social…

Russia Faces Domestic Resilience Challenges Ahead of Elections
Building a Nation Under Arms: Russia From Mobilization to Military Socialisation
Analytics

Building a Nation Under Arms: Russia From Mobilization to Military Socialisation

Russia’s substantial wartime losses and declining effectiveness of contract-based recruitment raise growing questions about its ability to sustain the front’s manpower needs without renewed mass mobilization. IKAR’s study examines Russia’s available and emerging mechanisms for replenishing military personnel, public attitudes toward mass mobilization and its potential political consequences, and the feasibility of various mobilization scenarios.…

Building a Nation Under Arms: Russia From Mobilization to Military Socialisation
The Fuel Crisis in Russia as a Factor in Destabilizing the War Economy
Analytics

The Fuel Crisis in Russia as a Factor in Destabilizing the War Economy

Transformation of the Fuel Crisis into a Systemic Challenge Monitoring of the Russian information space during the period from 29 June to 20 July 2026 indicates a further escalation of the fuel crisis and its transition from a regional issue into a systemic challenge affecting the Russian Federation’s rear-area support system. While at the end…

The Fuel Crisis in Russia as a Factor in Destabilizing the War Economy
Managed Shortage: War in Everyday Life
Analytics

Managed Shortage: War in Everyday Life

Summary Monitoring of Russian sources for the period 15–29 June 2026 shows that the fuel shortage is emerging as a new stage in a broader campaign of pressure on Russia’s rear. Fuel disruptions are increasingly shifting the consequences of the war from the realm of abstract political developments into everyday life. Isolated shortages are gradually…

Managed Shortage: War in Everyday Life